Central New York · Lake Ontario Plain

Oswego County weather and solar

What the climate here actually does to a solar array — production by season, the structural spec the snow load forces, and the roof decisions that follow from both.

The climate

Lake Ontario Plain

The narrow shelf from Niagara east through Orleans, Wayne, Oswego, and into Jefferson. Ontario stays open all winter, so the snow season runs long, but the immediate shoreline is warmer and often gets rain when inland gets snow.

Specific yield

1,080–1,220 kWh / kW-DC / yr

A 10 kW array averages about 11,500 kWh a year here.

Modeled NREL PVWatts v8 · verified Jan 2026

Mean annual snowfall

80–140 inches

Heavy lake-effect exposure from Lake Ontario.

Modeled NOAA/NWS seasonal snowfall records · verified Jan 2026

Design ground snow load

50–80 psf

Racking and structural review are engineered to this figure. Ask which number your proposal used.

Filed ASCE 7 ground snow load data · verified Jan 2026

Winter quarter share

10% of annual

December, January, and February combined.

Derived NREL PVWatts v8 · verified Jan 2026

Days with snow on the array

25–55 per season

Far fewer than days with snow on the ground — panels shed.

Observed GridReady quote and bill review sample · verified Jan 2026

Seasonality

Production month by month on a 10 kW array

Jul outproduces Dec by roughly 4.4 to one here. This is the shape a real proposal should show you — if yours is a gentle wave, it is not modeling Oswego County.

kWh per month from a 10 kW-DC array at the midpoint of the Lake Ontario Plain yield band. Bar height is relative to the peak month.

Show the arithmetic

10 kW × 1,150 kWh/kW/yr (midpoint of the Lake Ontario Plain band) = 11,500 kWh a year, distributed on a northern-temperate seasonal curve anchored so December through February sums to 10% of the total.

A modeled shape, not a measurement of your roof. Orientation, pitch, and shading move individual months more than they move the annual total.

Derived NREL PVWatts v8 · verified Jan 2026

Local weather

What the weather here specifically does

  • Because Ontario does not freeze, this belt keeps producing snow into March in a way the Erie belt does not.
  • The first few miles inland from the shore see sharply more snow than the shore itself. Elevation gain of even a couple hundred feet shows up in the totals.
  • Fruit-belt agriculture along the shore means open land and generally unshaded roofs.

The roof

Consequences for the array itself

  • Wind exposure along the immediate shore is significant.
  • Snow load rises quickly with distance inland. Two addresses in the same town can carry different design loads.

The one question worth asking every installer here

“What ground snow load is this racking engineered for, and can I see the stamped calculation?” The right answer in Oswego County is 5080 psf. At this load, structural review is genuine engineering and some roofs will need reinforcement. That is a finding, not a sales objection.

Microclimates

Oswego County is not one climate

County averages hide real variation. These are the other zones inside this county's boundary.
Elevation and distance from a lake move these numbers more than county boundaries do.
ZoneSnowfallSnow loadSpecific yield
Lake Ontario Plain (primary)80–140"50–80 psf1,080–1,220 kWh/kW
Tug Hill Plateau150–250"90–150 psf980–1,120 kWh/kW

By location

Elevation across Oswego County

Within a single county, elevation is usually the strongest predictor of how much snow a roof sees.
PlaceElevationClimate zoneGuide
Fulton350 ftLake Ontario PlainCosts & production
Oswego300 ftLake Ontario PlainCosts & production

Questions

Oswego County climate FAQ

How much does snow reduce solar production in Oswego County?
Less than most people expect. A pitched array here sees roughly 25 to 55 days a season with enough cover to stop production — the glass is slick and the array runs warmer than the shingles around it. Cloud cover through November and December costs more production than snow cover does. What snow really drives is the structural spec: design ground snow load here is 50 to 80 psf, and racking must be engineered and stamped for it.
What is the seasonal production curve in Oswego County?
Jul is the strongest month and Dec the weakest, by roughly 4.4 to one. December through February combined account for about 10% of annual output — roughly one month's worth of production spread across three months. A proposal that shows a smooth, near-flat monthly production curve for this county is not modeling this climate.
Is Oswego County too far north or too cloudy for solar?
No, but the honest framing is that the climate sets the ceiling and the electricity rate sets the value. A 10 kW array here produces roughly 11,500 kWh a year. That is real output — the question is what a kWh is worth where you live, which is a rate question rather than a weather one.
How does lake-effect snow affect solar in Oswego County?
Heavy exposure from Lake Ontario. Because Ontario does not freeze, this belt keeps producing snow into March in a way the Erie belt does not.
Does cold weather help or hurt solar panels in Oswego County?
Cold helps efficiency — panels produce more per unit of sunlight at low temperature, which is why a clear February day can outperform a hazy July one on a per-hour basis. What hurts is daylight hours and cloud cover, and this climate is short on both between November and February. The two effects do not cancel out; the daylight loss dominates.

Next step

Turn this into your own numbers

The climate sets what a roof can produce. Your rate sets what that production is worth, and your roof sets how much of the band you actually get.

Badge key:Filed — from a tariff, statute, or government datasetModeled — from a published model or datasetDerived — calculated by us from the inputs shownObserved — from proposals and bills readers send us

How this page is built

This is a generated page: the structure is shared across locations, the numbers are not. Every figure comes from the source cited beside it, with the date we last checked it. Nothing here is a quote, an appraisal, or tax advice, and none of it is specific to your roof.

Rates and incentive programs change. We re-verify utility tariffs and NYSERDA program status on a rolling schedule and stamp the date on each number rather than on the page, so you can see which specific figures are fresh. Full methodology · Program status tracker · About the Local Energy Playbook

Page content last reviewed April 2026.

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